Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.003192 0.003346 0.003504 0.003677 0.003861 0.004053 0.004267
2025-04-06 0.002923 0.003154 0.003398 0.003678 0.003990 0.004328 0.004725
2025-04-13 0.002672 0.002935 0.003222 0.003559 0.003946 0.004378 0.004902
2025-04-20 0.002549 0.002843 0.003170 0.003563 0.004025 0.004556 0.005218
2025-04-27 0.002478 0.002801 0.003167 0.003616 0.004156 0.004791 0.005604
2025-05-04 0.002369 0.002707 0.003096 0.003580 0.004174 0.004886 0.005820
2025-05-11 0.002281 0.002632 0.003040 0.003558 0.004203 0.004992 0.006048
2025-05-18 0.002201 0.002561 0.002987 0.003532 0.004224 0.005085 0.006260
2025-05-25 0.002168 0.002546 0.002999 0.003587 0.004345 0.005307 0.006649
2025-06-01 0.002107 0.002494 0.002961 0.003576 0.004380 0.005416 0.006889
2025-06-08 0.002043 0.002434 0.002912 0.003548 0.004389 0.005490 0.007083
2025-06-15 0.001971 0.002363 0.002844 0.003492 0.004359 0.005508 0.007197
2025-06-22 0.001907 0.002299 0.002786 0.003447 0.004342 0.005544 0.007341
2025-06-29 0.001866 0.002265 0.002763 0.003448 0.004387 0.005666 0.007613
2025-07-06 0.001782 0.002171 0.002661 0.003339 0.004276 0.005566 0.007551
2025-07-13 0.001749 0.002143 0.002644 0.003343 0.004321 0.005686 0.007823
2025-07-20 0.001735 0.002140 0.002659 0.003391 0.004429 0.005900 0.008249
2025-07-27 0.001691 0.002095 0.002617 0.003358 0.004420 0.005941 0.008407
2025-08-03 0.001653 0.002058 0.002584 0.003338 0.004427 0.006007 0.008606
2025-08-10 0.001617 0.002021 0.002551 0.003315 0.004429 0.006064 0.008792
2025-08-17 0.001609 0.002023 0.002569 0.003365 0.004540 0.006290 0.009265
2025-08-24 0.001580 0.001995 0.002545 0.003355 0.004560 0.006376 0.009510
2025-08-31 0.001546 0.001960 0.002512 0.003329 0.004556 0.006423 0.009690